Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3788 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

UA 3788 · FTW → CKB

departs 4:05 PM CT · arrives 7:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at CKB more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CKB?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CKB at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CKB

↓ 4pm departures from FTW are usually not late

Weather at each end

FTW (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.23 in

CKB (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 3788 · FTW → CKB

Odds over time

How late will it get to CKB?