tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3876 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 3876 · AMA → ORD

departs 4:48 PM CT · arrives 6:57 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
56% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    44%
  2. 15–30 min late
    30%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.