tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 538 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 538 · ALB → ORD

departs 5:12 PM ET · arrives 6:41 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
38% chance · ±11 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    61%
  2. 15–30 min late
    17%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.