UA 550 · YYC → DEN

departs 6:08 AM MDT · arrives 8:46 AM MT

Forecast issued Fri 8:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at YYC that day

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at DEN that day

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

YYC (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 550 · YYC → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?