Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 572 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

UA 572 · DEN → RSW

departs 4:10 PM MT · arrives 10:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ This flight has been late 13% of the time recently

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 572 · DEN → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?