Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 698 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

UA 698 · YVR → LAX

departs 2:56 PM PDT · arrives 5:43 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 61h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↓ 2pm departures from YVR are usually not late

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,867 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 698 · YVR → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?