Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 739 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

UA 739 · ORD → BNA

departs 6:23 PM CT · arrives 8:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.30 in

BNA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,367 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 739 · ORD → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?