Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1048
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1048 · LAX → OAK
departs 5:11 PM PT · arrives 6:39 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.15 in
OAK (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.