Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1088
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1088 · MDW → SMF
departs 7:46 PM CT · arrives 10:07 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at SMF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SMF?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from MDW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SMF
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
SMF (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.