Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1197
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1197 · SJC → LAS
departs 5:56 PM PT · arrives 7:32 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±6 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
↓
SJC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.