Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1206 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31

WN 1206 · ABQ → HOU

departs 10:41 AM MT · arrives 1:58 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↓ 10am departures from ABQ are usually not late

↓ WN's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

HOU (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1206 · ABQ → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?