Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1240 LANDED 12:57 AM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 31 Today

WN 1240 · CMH → BNA

took off 1:03 AM ET · landed 12:57 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling7,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1240 · CMH → BNA

Odds over time