Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1280
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1280 · DAL → MSY
departs 7:35 PM CT · arrives 9:13 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±5 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
MSY usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 933 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.