Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1307
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
WN 1307 · LAS → SAN
departs 5:40 PM PT · arrives 7:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 11/3 45%
Wed 11/4 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
29%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.