Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1309
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1309 · LAS → AUS
departs 4:16 PM PT · arrives 9:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±7 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4.33333 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.