Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1312
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
WN 1312 · DAL → AMA
departs 2:01 PM CT · arrives 3:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Fri 10/30 33%
Sat 10/31
Mon 11/2 31%
Tue 11/3 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at AMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AMA?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DAL that day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
2pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.05 in
AMA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3.66667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.