Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1395
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1395 · HOU → MSY
departs 6:06 PM CT · arrives 7:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MSY at that hour are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
HOU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.11 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.