Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1423
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1423 · DAL → LAX
departs 6:40 PM CT · arrives 7:53 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Sat 10/31
Mon 11/2 28%
Thu 11/5 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.