Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1427
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
WN 1427 · HNL → LAX
departs 9:32 PM HT · arrives 4:35 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 17%
Tue 11/3 14%
Wed 11/4 17%
Thu 11/5 22%
Fri 11/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.1d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAX is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
HNL usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.