Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1468
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
WN 1468 · DAL → STL
departs 11:53 AM CT · arrives 1:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 13%
Sat 10/31
Mon 11/2 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at STL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STL?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DAL that day
↑
11am departures from DAL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at STL
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.05 in
STL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.