Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1572
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1572 · LAS → SEA
departs 7:41 PM PT · arrives 10:24 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±7 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
7pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 8,900 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.