Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1600
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1600 · DEN → HOU
departs 6:28 PM MT · arrives 10:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 57%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 33%
Mon 11/2 32%
Tue 11/3 46%
Wed 11/4 36%
Thu 11/5 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±2 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at DEN that day
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 1.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.