Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1614
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1614 · DEN → ICT
departs 5:48 PM MT · arrives 8:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 41%
Tue 11/3 41%
Wed 11/4 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at DEN that day
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
ICT (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.