Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 163
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 163 · DEN → MCI
departs 5:15 PM MT · arrives 8:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 27%
Thu 11/5 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±6 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at DEN that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 8.33333 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.