Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1649
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1649 · DEN → LBB
departs 6:06 PM MT · arrives 8:44 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at DEN that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
LBB (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.