Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1686
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
WN 1686 · DAL → MCI
departs 11:51 AM CT · arrives 1:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DAL that day
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
WN's recent on-time record
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.05 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.