Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1734
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1734 · DEN → PHX
departs 6:30 PM MT · arrives 7:33 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 76%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 78%
Mon 11/2 36%
Tue 11/3 44%
Wed 11/4 28%
Thu 11/5 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±3 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at DEN that day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.