Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1797
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1797 · DAL → TPA
departs 6:41 PM CT · arrives 10:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±1 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.08 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.