Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1894
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1894 · DAL → OAK
departs 6:09 PM CT · arrives 7:57 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Sat 10/31
Mon 11/2 40%
Tue 11/3 41%
Wed 11/4 52%
Thu 11/5 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±8 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 21% of the time recently
↑
6pm departures from DAL are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
OAK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.