Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1955
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1955 · PHX → HOU
departs 6:56 PM MT · arrives 11:36 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±6 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at HOU that day
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.14 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.50 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.