Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1958
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1958 · HNL → ITO
departs 1:37 PM HT · arrives 2:49 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Sat 10/31
Mon 11/2 23%
Tue 11/3 20%
Wed 11/4 20%
Thu 11/5 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at ITO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ITO?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from HNL are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 367 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ITO that day
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL
↓
This flight has been late 10% of the time recently
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
ITO (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 333 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.