Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1960
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1960 · HNL → ITO
departs 8:50 PM HT · arrives 10:02 PM HT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 25%
Tue 11/3 20%
Wed 11/4 18%
Fri 11/6 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.1d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at ITO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ITO?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at ITO that day
↓
8pm departures from HNL are usually not late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL
Weather at each end
HNL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
ITO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.