Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1963
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 1963 · SAN → SFO
departs 6:06 PM PT · arrives 7:47 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±11 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.04 in
SFO (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.