Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1964 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

WN 1964 · HNL → KOA

departs 5:18 PM HT · arrives 6:24 PM HT

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to KOA?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

KOA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1964 · HNL → KOA

Odds over time

How late will it get to KOA?