Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2057
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2057 · LAX → PHX
departs 7:36 PM PT · arrives 9:08 PM MT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±3 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, thunderstorms forecast at PHX that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.