Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2059
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2059 · HOU → LAS
departs 6:06 PM CT · arrives 7:31 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 81%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 41%
Mon 11/2 35%
Thu 11/5 46%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.11 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.