Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2120
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2120 · LAS → ABQ
departs 3:52 PM PT · arrives 6:30 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 89%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 68%
Mon 11/2 42%
Tue 11/3 39%
Wed 11/4 34%
Thu 11/5 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±6 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.