Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2126
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2126 · SEA → OAK
departs 4:16 PM PT · arrives 6:22 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OAK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.