Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2203
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2203 · ITO → HNL
departs 3:23 PM HT · arrives 4:36 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 10%
Tue 11/3 14%
Wed 11/4 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave ITO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ITO that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↓
ITO usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 6% of the time recently
Weather at each end
ITO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.14 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.