Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2227
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2227 · KOA → LAS
departs 8:35 PM HT · arrives 3:51 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 11%
Mon 11/2 9%
Tue 11/3 10%
Wed 11/4 11%
Thu 11/5 14%
Fri 11/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.1d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave KOA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
KOA usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 5% of the time recently
Weather at each end
KOA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.03 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.