Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2316
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2316 · LAS → LAX
departs 7:40 PM PT · arrives 8:56 PM PT
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 11/2 55%
Tue 11/3 40%
Wed 11/4 37%
Thu 11/5 53%
Fri 11/6 64%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±12 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
7pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.