Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2354
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2354 · OGG → LIH
departs 1:21 PM HT · arrives 2:33 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Sat 10/31
Mon 11/2 29%
Tue 11/3 22%
Wed 11/4 25%
Thu 11/5 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at LIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LIH is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from OGG are often late
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG
↓
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
LIH (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.