Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2400
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2400 · DEN → MAF
departs 5:36 PM MT · arrives 8:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±8 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at MAF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MAF?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi forecast at MAF that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MAF (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.