Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2487
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2487 · LAX → MCO
departs 10:13 PM PT · arrives 5:10 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Mon 11/2 33%
Tue 11/3 31%
Wed 11/4 29%
Thu 11/5 40%
Fri 11/6 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.1d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.