WN 2500 · SAT → STL

departs 6:36 AM CT · arrives 9:00 AM CT

Your aircraft is N7878A (B737), coming in as WN 1383 from ELP: landed 11:30 PM CT.

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at SAT that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SAT are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.04 in

STL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2500 · SAT → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?