Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2587
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
WN 2587 · LIH → HNL
departs 8:19 AM HT · arrives 9:16 AM HT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Thu 10/29 6%
Fri 10/30 6%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 6%
Mon 11/2 9%
Tue 11/3 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
4%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
4%
Leave 15+ late
2%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Leave LIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
96%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
8am departures from LIH are usually not late
↓
WN's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
LIH (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.11 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.