Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2641
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2641 · MCI → MCO
departs 6:27 PM CT · arrives 10:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sat 10/31
Mon 11/2 25%
Tue 11/3 25%
Wed 11/4 31%
Thu 11/5 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±4 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCI (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 5,433 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.03 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.