Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2706
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31
WN 2706 · MCO → DAL
departs 4:58 PM ET · arrives 6:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Fri 10/30 26%
Sat 10/31
Mon 11/2 34%
Tue 11/3 27%
Wed 11/4 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at MCO that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.