Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2741
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2741 · MCO → MCI
departs 7:12 PM ET · arrives 9:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Sat 10/31
Mon 11/2 26%
Tue 11/3 31%
Wed 11/4 34%
Thu 11/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at MCO that day
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.