Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2784
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
WN 2784 · PHX → DEN
departs 6:46 PM MT · arrives 9:39 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±4 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
6pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
DEN usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.14 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.